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| #201800 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 66 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N 45.4W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 125SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.1N 45.4W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.1N 46.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 45.9N 42.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 50.5N 37.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 55.7N 31.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 60.8N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.1N 45.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
