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| #201934 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 0300 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008 AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 77.5W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 77.5W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 77.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.1N 76.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.2N 75.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 45.0N 63.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 77.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
