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#201950 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:58 AM 20.Jul.2008) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 200 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008 ...CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 60 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL AND VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...33.7 N...77.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |