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| #202017 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 AM 20.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 1500 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 76.4W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 76.4W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 76.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.2N 75.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.7N 73.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 38.9N 70.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 42.5N 65.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 76.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB/BLAKE |
