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#202042 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 PM 20.Jul.2008) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 200 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008 ...CRISTOBAL WEAKENS A LITTLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...EAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT. DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...34.6 N...76.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB |