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| #202161 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 20.Jul.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 0300 UTC MON JUL 21 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 85.8W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 85.8W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 85.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.9N 88.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N 90.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.4N 92.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.3N 94.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.5N 97.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.0N 100.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 85.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
