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| #202196 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 21.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 0900 UTC MON JUL 21 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 73.9W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 110SE 50SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 73.9W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 74.4W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.2N 72.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.7N 69.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 42.5N 65.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 44.4N 61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 45.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 73.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH |
