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| #202239 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 AM 21.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 1500 UTC MON JUL 21 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 72.6W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 72.6W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 73.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 37.9N 70.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 40.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 43.3N 63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 75SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 45.0N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 75SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 45.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 41.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 72.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
