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| #202405 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 21.Jul.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008 AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O`CONNOR TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 10 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PORT O`CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. AT 10 PM CDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 92.8W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 120SE 30SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 92.8W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 92.0W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N 94.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.8N 95.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.6N 96.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.2N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 101.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 92.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
