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| #202503 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 22.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 65.9W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 65.9W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 67.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 42.9N 62.6W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 45SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 44.5N 57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 44.0N 51.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.5N 46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 39.0N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.9N 65.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
