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| #202942 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 23.Jul.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 400 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008 ...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO JUST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAFFIN BAY NORTHWARD TO CORPUS CHRISTI HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O`CONNOR. AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS WILL BRING DOLLY FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHER TEXAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW BUT WILL SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N...97.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
