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| #203017 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:38 PM 23.Jul.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 700 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008 ...HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUE OVER SOUTH TEXAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO JUST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT O`CONNOR. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER EXTREME SOUTH TEXAS NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...TAKING DOLLY FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS. A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED BY LATE TOMORROW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW BUT WILL SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N...98.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
