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#203134 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 24.Jul.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 100 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008 ...SLOW-MOVING DOLLY DUMPING TORRENTIAL RAINS ON SOUTH TEXAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM...NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...CAUSING WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL SUBSIDE THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...26.7 N...98.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |