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| #207768 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 15.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008 ...FAY MOVING WESTWARD...APPROACHING HAITI... AT 11 PM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO PORT AU PRINCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE NORTHWARD ALONG THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI EARLY SATURDAY...AND WILL BE MOVING VERY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FAY COULD WEAKEN SOME WHILE MOVING OVER LAND BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SANTO DOMINGO RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS TO 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.7 N...70.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
