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#207780 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:57 AM 16.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 200 AM AST SAT AUG 16 2008 ...FAY CONTINUING WESTWARD OVER HISPANIOLA... AT 200 AM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN EXTENDED AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...EAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FAY COULD WEAKEN SOME WHILE MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA THIS MORNING...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND ON SUNDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...18.7 N...71.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |