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| #208386 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:00 AM 19.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH YET AS FAY APPROACHES THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA...... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS...ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...12 KM/HR. A MOTION JUST EAST OF DUE NORTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INLAND OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FAY COULD STILL APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE FAY MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE CMAN STATION AT MOLASSES REEF. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF CUBA...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES BEING POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH-FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...25.5 N...81.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
