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| #208500 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 AM 19.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 800 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008 ...FAY MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...EAST SOUTH OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA AND 35 MILES...55 KM SOUTHWEST OF MOORE HAVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA. REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N...81.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
