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| #208655 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 19.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND... GEORGIA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 81.0W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 81.0W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 81.1W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.2N 80.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.0N 80.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.0N 81.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.5N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.4N 85.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N 87.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 81.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
