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#208760 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:49 AM 20.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 200 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...FAY FINALLY REACHING THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 5 MILES...10 KM NORTHWEST OF SEBASTIAN FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS FAY MOVES OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. FAY IS LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N...80.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN |