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#208940 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 20.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 500 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008 ...WET FAY SOAKING PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...MORE RAIN TO COME... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...-THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE FAY MOVES OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...28.8 N...80.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |