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#209017 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 AM 21.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...FAY EDGING TOWARD THE FLORIDA COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. FAY HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR... DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR THE GULF COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE REPORTS RAINFALL TOTALS OF NEARLY 25 INCHES IN PARTS OF NORTH MELBOURNE. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.1 N...80.7 W. MOVEMENT... NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |