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| #209169 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 21.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE MOVE BACK OVER FLORIDA...BUT TAKING ITS TIME... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 20 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. FAY HAS BEEN STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SOON AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LAT FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM FROM THE CENTER. THERE WAS A RECENT UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION FROM THE AREA JUST NORTH OF ORMOND BEACH OF A GUST OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...80.8 W. MOVEMENT... STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
