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#209249 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 21.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 500 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA...VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...JUST WEST OF FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. THE CENTER OF FAY CROSSED THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR FLAGLER BEACH AROUND 230 PM EDT...1830 UTC. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |