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| #209250 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 21.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 81.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......130NE 100SE 40SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 81.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 81.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.7N 83.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N 84.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.4N 86.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.0N 90.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 81.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
