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#209603 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:28 PM 22.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY...SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...NORTH OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM... EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |