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#209604 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:28 PM 22.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 83.2W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 83.2W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 82.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N 84.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.2N 85.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.5N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 31.5N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.0N 91.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 83.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |