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| #209714 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 22.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008 AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 84.2W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 84.2W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 83.8W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N 85.3W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N 86.9W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 88.5W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 80SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N 91.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N 90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 84.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
