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| #209720 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 PM 22.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008 ...FAY CENTERED OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA... AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES... 75 KM...EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...84.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
