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| #209785 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 23.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 500 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...CENTER OF FAY CURRENTLY INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED WESTWARD... AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. BAINBRIDGE GEORGIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...84.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
