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| #209886 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:34 PM 23.Aug.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 100 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008 ...CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. FAY HAS BEEN MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...30.5 N...85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
