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| #210480 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:14 PM 25.Aug.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 ...CARIBBEAN DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM... AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF HAITI. AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 2 PM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAITI FROM NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...365 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE PRIOR TO MOVING OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE INTENSE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.8 N...70.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
