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| #210888 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 AM 27.Aug.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008 ...GUSTAV HESITATES...PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OVER MUCH OF HAITI... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...WEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. GUSTAV HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA LATER TODAY AND ON AND THURSDAY. GUSTAV HAS WEAKENED WHILE INTERACTING WITH THE TERRAIN OF HAITI AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...GUSTAV COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW ONCE IT CLEARS THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI. MORE SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY WHEN IT PASSES BETWEEN CUBA AND JAMAICA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...18.6 N...73.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |
