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| #211019 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 27.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 74.4W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 74.4W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 74.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.1N 75.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N 76.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N 78.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.2N 79.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 25.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 28.5N 88.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 74.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
