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| #211344 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 PM 28.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 0300 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.3W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.3W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 77.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N 78.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.1N 80.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 85NE 65SE 65SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.4N 82.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.9N 84.2W...NEAR COAST OF CUBA MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.5N 87.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N 90.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 30.0N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 77.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
