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| #211498 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 29.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 2100 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008 AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...AND GRANMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 79.7W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 34 KT.......140NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 79.7W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 79.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.1N 80.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.7N 82.8W...OVER ISLE OF YOUTH MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.4N 84.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 25.2N 86.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.0N 90.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 79.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
