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| #211693 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 30.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 1500 UTC SAT AUG 30 2008 AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AT 1100 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...ISLA DE JUVENTUD...MATANZAS...AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY. INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 82.1W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 82.1W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 81.6W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.5N 83.5W...OVER WESTERN CUBA MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 90SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 24.3N 85.4W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.0N 87.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.8N 89.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 31.5N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 82.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
