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| #211764 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:54 PM 30.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 2100 UTC SAT AUG 30 2008 AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 500 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...ISLA DE JUVENTUD...MATANZAS...AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 82.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 210SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 82.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 82.6W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.4N 84.4W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 25.3N 86.5W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.2N 88.6W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N 90.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 32.0N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 32.0N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 82.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
