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#211986 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 31.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 1500 UTC SUN AUG 31 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 86.0W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 45NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT.......120NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......175NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 86.0W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 85.5W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 27.0N 87.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N 89.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 45SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 30.0N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 130SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.1N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 32.0N 95.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 32.0N 95.9W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 86.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |