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| #212209 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 01.Sep.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 0900 UTC MON SEP 01 2008 AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 89.5W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT.......120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......200NE 175SE 140SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 210SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 89.5W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 88.9W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 91.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...125NE 175SE 140SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.7N 92.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.4N 93.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 31.8N 94.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 32.0N 95.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 32.0N 96.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 32.0N 96.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 89.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BERG |
