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#212541 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:59 PM 01.Sep.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 700 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008 ...GUSTAV WEAKENS...BUT STILL A HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON WESTWARD TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF OPELOUSAS LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF GUSTAV ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT... AND INTO NORTHEASTERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...WITH GUSTAV EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TUESDAY OR ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N...92.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN |