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| #212696 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 02.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0900 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 43.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 30SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 43.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 42.4W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.0N 45.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 48.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.2N 51.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.8N 54.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 43.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH |
