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| #212795 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:06 AM 02.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 45.0W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 90SE 30SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 45.0W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.3N 47.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 30SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.9N 50.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 30SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N 56.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 74.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/KNABB |
