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| #212899 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 02.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 46.3W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 45SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 60SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 46.3W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 45.6W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.6N 48.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.3N 51.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.6N 57.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 63.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 46.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/KNABB |
