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#213299 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 03.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC WED SEP 03 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 52.7W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 75SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 52.7W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 51.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.6N 55.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N 57.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.3N 60.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.8N 63.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.5N 76.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 52.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |