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| #213415 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 03.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC THU SEP 04 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 54.1W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 75SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 75SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 54.1W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.1N 56.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 58.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.3N 61.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.8N 63.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 68.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 72.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 54.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
