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| #213525 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 04.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1500 UTC THU SEP 04 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 57.0W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 938 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 55SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 57.0W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 56.4W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.8N 58.9W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 61.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.6N 63.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 66.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.5N 71.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 77.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 57.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
