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| #213691 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 04.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0300 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 59.5W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 59.5W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 58.9W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.6N 61.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 64.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N 66.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 69.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 77.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N 80.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 59.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
