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#213821 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 05.Sep.2008) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008 1500 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 34.8W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 90SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 34.8W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 34.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.2N 35.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 37.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N 39.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.2N 41.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 48.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 34.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE |