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#213824 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 05.Sep.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 05 2008 ...IKE MOVING SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WEST... INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES... 685 KM...NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 550 MILES...885 KM ...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TODAY AND TOMORROW... WITH A TURN BACK TO THE WEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK... IKE COULD BE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...23.2 N...62.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |