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#213916 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 05.Sep.2008) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008 2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 35.2W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 35.2W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 34.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.4N 36.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.3N 37.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.5N 39.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 41.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 45.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 35.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE |